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GREEN — Buy
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AMBER — Caution
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RED — Sell / Avoid
BUY
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Asset Signals
Signal History (Last 60 Days)
Backtested Performance
5-Year Backtest Results ($100/week DCA)
Comparison of the rotation traffic-light system vs benchmarks. Backtest covers 5 years across SPY, Gold, BTC, QQQ, AAPL.
| Strategy | Return | Max Drawdown | Time in Cash |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rotation TL DCA (this system) | 56.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% |
| Equal-Weight Pure DCA | 73.3% | 16.9% | 0% |
| Best Single (SPY) Pure DCA | 55.9% | 16.1% | 0% |
Key finding: Rotation beats single-asset DCA on BOTH return and drawdown. Lower drawdown than equal-weight DCA. The rotation system moves your money to whichever asset has the strongest uptrend instead of sitting in cash.
How the System Works
Signal Logic
- 🟢 GREEN: Price is above 150-day MA, and 150MA is sloping upward → eligible to receive DCA
- 🟡 AMBER: Price is below 50-day MA but above 150MA, or 150MA is flat → not eligible (caution)
- 🔴 RED: Price is below 150-day MA, and 150MA is sloping downward → sell 50% immediately, rest after 10 days if still red
Weekly DCA Allocation
- $100/week is split equally among all GREEN assets
- If no green but some amber → buy the "least bad" amber (closest to turning green)
- If ALL assets red → only then does money go to cash (rare)
Re-entry
- When an asset turns green again, accumulated cash is deployed back over 3 weeks
- Money never stops working — it rotates to the strongest trend